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OLTA Research · Methodology brief

Benchmarking methodology

How OLTA evaluates baskets against published references. Written so it works whether or not you have met a Sharpe ratio before: the primer comes first, the two references second, and the reading key last.

01
Before the numbers

What these numbers measure

Three numbers carry this page. Two of them describe a basket on its own, the third describes the worst moment inside the window. Everything after this section is a comparison of those three between a basket and a reference.

Sharpe ratio
(R − r_f) / σ
Return earned per unit of total volatility · the standard risk-adjusted yardstick. Higher is better. Above 1 is strong, above 2 is excellent. It uses total volatility, so it penalises big upside swings too.
Annualised volatility
σ_annual = σ_daily · √252
How much the basket's returns swing, scaled to a yearly figure. Lower is steadier. It's the denominator of the Sharpe ratio.
Max drawdown
The deepest peak-to-trough fall over the backtest window. Closer to 0 is better · it's the worst loss someone who bought at a peak would have ridden through before recovery.
Placing a Sharpe number
  • Below 0Lost money over the window. The volatility bought nothing.
  • 0 to 0.5Positive, but thin. The return is small next to the swings it took.
  • 0.5 to 1Respectable. Roughly what a decent long-only book prints.
  • 1 to 2Strong. Return is compounding faster than risk is being taken.
  • Above 2Excellent, and rare. Worth checking the window length before believing it.

A Sharpe measured over a short window is noise rather than a weak signal, so OLTA withholds the grade entirely below 90 days of history and prints "Not graded" in its place. Every figure on this surface is a backtest on simulated funds.

02
Reference design

Why two benchmarks

No single benchmark answers both questions an allocator asks of an actively-constructed basket, so OLTA publishes two.

BTCSingle-asset reference

Did you beat just holding Bitcoin?

Reads
The dominant crypto risk premium.
Holdings
1 asset
Rebalance
None. It is one asset.
OCBE100Diversified-passive reference

Did your construction earn its keep against naive diversification?

Reads
The equal-weight 100 baseline.
Holdings
top 100 liquid crypto assets
Rebalance
Monthly reconstitution.

An active basket competes against both. This mirrors the convention used by institutional crypto research desks, where the BTC line and a broad-basket line are reported side by side on every fund factsheet.

03
Bitcoin

BTC reference

Bitcoin is the institutional default for crypto performance comparison. Its risk-adjusted profile depends materially on the window an analyst selects: Sharpe over inception is not Sharpe over the last five years, and the gap between the two is wide enough to change a conclusion. All four canonical anchors are published below so the comparison is honest about start-date convention. The headline figure on each Backtest panel uses the rolling 5y window, the convention adopted by Galaxy Digital research and the Bitwise BITW factsheet.

BTC reference

Sharpe by anchor

Bitcoin's risk-adjusted profile depends materially on the window chosen. The figures below are computed from the same daily OHLC the OLTA backtest pipeline consumes, with zero risk-free rate and 252 trading-day annualisation.

AnchorWindowYearsSharpeAnn returnVolMaxDD
2010-07-17Inception15.9y1.68145.7%86.6%−93.1%
2014-01-01Post-mania12.4y0.59···
2017-08-17Binance era8.8y0.6939.1%56.8%−83.2%
2020-01-01Rolling 5y6.4y0.87···
Notes
2010-07-17 · Includes the 2010-2013 early-cycle mania phase. Not directly comparable to modern institutional references because the base price is below $1 for the first three years.
2014-01-01 · Canonical base used by Bitwise and Fidelity research. Drops the early mania phase and captures four complete cycles.
2017-08-17 · Anchored at the first Binance trading day. Apples-to-apples with the basket Sharpes shown on /index pages whose constituents share the same listing-era window.
2020-01-01 · Matches the rolling-5y convention used by Galaxy Digital research and aligns with the Bitwise BITW factsheet headline. The most directly comparable figure for external institutional references.
Source · CryptoCompare histoday + Binance SpotRefreshed 2026-05-25
04
Diversified-passive reference

OLTA Crypto Benchmark · Equal-weight 100

OCBE100 is an equal-weighted composite of 100 liquid crypto assets from the OLTA universe, each held at one percent. Stablecoins, gold-pegged tokens and the lowest-liquidity long tail are excluded so the basket stays tradeable at institutional scale. Reconstitution is monthly: the constituent list freezes for the month and is reviewed on the first business day. Its level is computed by the same divisor method as any other basket, so the benchmark and the baskets it measures share identical arithmetic.

OCBE100 is a control group, not a target. It tells an allocator what an undifferentiated long exposure to the broad market would have returned over the same window. An active basket that does not clear OCBE100 net of rebalance cost is not earning its construction premium: either the weighting scheme adds no risk-adjusted return, or the constituent universe is the wrong one for the regime. Either finding is useful, which is why the reference is published rather than quietly dropped when it flatters less.

05
Apples to apples

Window alignment

Every vs-BTC and vs-OCBE100 delta is sliced to the basket's own backtest window, never to a global fixed window. A basket with 67 days of history is compared against the same 67 days of BTC and OCBE100. A basket with five years of history is compared against the same five years.

Mixing windows would contaminate the delta with a regime difference that has nothing to do with the construction being evaluated. A 2020 anchor captures a different macro regime than a 2024 anchor, and the resulting Sharpe delta would mostly be reading that mismatch rather than any property of the basket.

The same rule applies across timeframe tabs. When the Backtest panel switches to the 6m or 3m view, the BTC and OCBE100 references shown alongside are recomputed on that same trailing window. A basket can look like a hero against BTC on the 2y window and a laggard on the 3m window, not because the construction changed but because the benchmark moved differently in those two regimes. Reading both is the point.

06
Reader guide

How to read the deltas

The vs-benchmark strip reports three numbers per reference: total-return delta, Sharpe delta, max-drawdown delta. The first two read in the obvious direction, higher is better. The third reads the other way, and that inversion is where most misreadings happen: a drawdown carries a minus sign, so a delta that is more negative means the basket fell further than the reference did.

Return and risk have to be read together. The four combinations below cover every strip you will meet.

Reading key
  • Sharpe higherDrawdown shallowerImproved risk profile

    Better return per unit of risk and a shallower fall than the reference. The combination an allocator is looking for, and the one that survives a change of window most often.

  • Sharpe higherDrawdown deeperPaid for with depth

    More efficient overall, but it fell further at the worst moment. Acceptable when the Sharpe gap is clear and the holding horizon is long enough to sit through the pit.

  • Sharpe lowerDrawdown shallowerDefensive, not additive

    Held up better in the fall but earned less per unit of risk. Useful as ballast next to a BTC-heavy book, weak as a standalone allocation.

  • Sharpe lowerDrawdown deeperNot earning its construction

    Worse on both counts. The weighting scheme is adding risk without adding return over this window, and the reference is the cheaper way to hold the same exposure.

Read the two references for different things. BTC tells you about the crypto beta you bypassed. OCBE100 tells you whether the diversification you paid for showed up.

Where this is documented

The benchmark catalogue and the metric formulas are set out in the methodology paper, the price history behind the BTC anchors in the price pipeline paper, and the case for measuring downside separately from Sharpe in the downside-risk framework. The rolling 5y BTC convention is reviewed on each catalogue rebuild against the published Galaxy Digital and Bitwise BITW references, and OCBE100 reconstitution is reviewed on the first business day of each month. Figures are backtested on simulated funds. OLTA is in public preview and mainnet is planned for H1 2027.