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OCPT5 · Equities

Crypto Equity Proxies 5

T2Under studyKYCS −0.17
Reference net asset value
128.00usd

Calibrated launch value from the rulebook. This basket carries no order panel today.

Family
Equities
Risk profile
Growth
Holdings
5
Weighting
Liquidity adjusted, 25% cap
Rebalance
Monthly
Sharpe grade
−0.17
The thesis

Why this basket exists

What the construction is trying to capture, who it is built for, and how it is meant to be sized inside a wider allocation.

Five public companies whose stocks behave like crypto with extra leverage. Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) is essentially a Bitcoin treasury wrapper. Coinbase is the largest regulated US exchange. Circle issues USDC. Robinhood captures retail flow into both crypto and equities. MARA mines Bitcoin. For allocators who want crypto beta but need an equity ticker on the statement.

  • Equities family · Growth risk tier
  • Rule-based, divisor-method NAV

No committee note is published for this basket yet. The text above is its catalogue description; the framing beside it is derived from the mandate and the risk tier.

How it is meant to be used
Built forAllocators who can tolerate 40 to 60% drawdowns for a longer payoff window.
Typical sizing5 to 15% of a crypto sleeve
Weighting ruleLiquidity adjusted, 25% cap
Risk tierGrowth
Composition

5 holdings, drawn to scale

Each tile's area is its weight in the basket, so the picture and the table below it are the same data read two ways.

Weight by area
5 holdings
COINon · 25% of the basketCOINon25%HOODon · 25% of the basketHOODon25%MSTRon · 25% of the basketMSTRon25%CRCLon · 15% of the basketCRCLon15%MARAon · 10% of the basketMARAon10%
Largest holding
COINon 25.0%
The single name that moves net asset value most.
Top three
75.0%
Share of the basket held by its three largest names.
Effective holdings
4.55
Equal weight equivalent of 5 named positions.
Published weights
largest first
Published weights for all 5 holdings, largest first.
HoldingShareWeight
01COINon25%
02HOODon25%
03MSTRon25%
04CRCLon15%
05MARAon10%
Total100%
Holdings

Why each name earned its seat

Research notes per constituent: the case for the asset, the regime that suits it, and the risk the seat carries.

  • COINon25%Tactical

    Coinbase is the largest regulated US crypto exchange and the canonical equity proxy for crypto-trading-volume cycles.

    Performs in retail-led crypto bull cycles. Sensitive to SEC enforcement and regulatory clarity around staking and listings.

    regulatory tail riskvolume-cycle exposure
  • HOODon25%Tactical

    Robinhood is the dominant US retail-trading platform with growing crypto and derivatives revenue.

    Performs in retail-trading bull cycles and in high-rate regimes (cash sweep). Sensitive to retail-activity downturns.

    retail-flow cyclicality
  • MSTRon25%Tactical

    Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) is essentially a publicly traded BTC treasury wrapper. The premium-to-NAV creates leveraged BTC exposure inside an equity ticker.

    Performs as leveraged BTC exposure with additional multiple-expansion risk. Drawdowns in BTC bear cycles are amplified.

    NAV-premium volatilitydebt-financing risk
  • CRCLon15%Tactical

    Circle Internet Group issues USDC, the second-largest fiat stablecoin by circulation. The regulated-stablecoin issuer thesis at scale.

    Performs in stablecoin-issuance growth cycles. Sensitive to rate cuts that compress reserve yield and to stablecoin regulation.

    rate-sensitivitystablecoin regulation
  • MARAon10%Tactical

    MARA Holdings is the largest publicly traded Bitcoin mining operator. Provides leveraged BTC-price exposure plus operational mining beta.

    Higher beta than BTC. Performs in BTC bull cycles and hash-rate growth narratives. Sharper drawdowns in BTC bear cycles.

    operational mining exposureenergy-cost sensitivity
The record

What the numbers say

Simulated on historical constituent prices. A Sharpe is only published once the measured window clears 90 days, and drawdowns keep their sign.

Backtested record
350 day window
Sharpe grade
−0.17Negative
Measured over 350 days against a bitcoin reference of 0.33.
Total return
−8.8%
Across the full window, simulated.
Max drawdown
−62.9%
Deepest peak to trough. 203 days to recover.
Annualised volatility
53.2%
Standard deviation of daily returns, annualised.
Beta vs bitcoin
1.00
Correlation 0.67.
Effective holdings
4.55
Of 5 named. Equal weight equivalent, from the published weights.
Simulated rebalance
Quarterly
Backtest assumption, not a published cadence.
Jensen alpha
+12.8%
Excess over what beta to bitcoin alone explains.
R squared
0.44
Share of the basket's moves bitcoin explains.
Bitcoin reference · Sharpe 0.33 · max drawdown −76.6%
OCBE100 reference · Sharpe 0.34 · max drawdown −61.1%

Every figure above is simulated on historical constituent prices for a basket that has not traded. It describes how the rules would have behaved, not how they will behave. OCPT5 is part of a public preview.

Loss tail
95% VaR · loss tailhistorical
1-week · 7d−13%
1-month · 30d−28%

Max expected loss over the horizon · 95% confidence · historical distribution. There is a 5% chance the actual loss is larger.

Across timeframes
vs bitcoin
Simulated return for this basket over five windows, with a Sharpe and a comparison with bitcoin wherever the window is long enough to publish one.
WindowReturnSharpevs BTC
Full window−8.8%−0.17+0.52
1 year−8.8%−0.17+0.52
6 months−10.8%−0.37+0.31
3 months+32.3%Not graded·

Returns are simulated over each window. A Sharpe is published only once that window clears 90 days, so the shorter rows read Not graded and carry no comparison with bitcoin. Short windows flatter and punish at random; read the full window first and treat the rest as texture.

Risk

What could go wrong

Priced off this basket's own weights rather than off a generic disclaimer, so every figure below can be checked against the table above.

Higher beta than the broad market. Drawdowns of 40 to 60% during risk-off regimes are within historical range. Size accordingly.

Structural flags
4 on this basket
  • Top-name weightLow

    MSTRon is the largest position at 25%. Capped by methodology but still drives index direction.

  • Short price historyHigh

    MSTRon, HOODon, COINon and 2 more have under a year of usable history. Backtest metrics carry wider error bars.

  • Routing dependenceMedium

    Routes through Dinari (stocks) and Backed Finance (ETFs). Settles on the EVM rail. KYC at the OLTA layer, not available in the US today.

  • Deep historical drawdownMedium

    Max drawdown reached −63% in the backtest window. Size accordingly.

If it goes wrong
effect on net asset value
4 downside scenarios for this basket, and the loss each one would put on net asset value.
ScenarioLoss on net asset value
COINon loses half its valueLargest holding, 25.0% of the basket−12.5%Mechanical
The three largest holdings fall 30%COINon, HOODon, MSTRon · 75.0% of the basket together−22.5%Mechanical
The deepest simulated fall repeatsRecorded once in the window, 203 days to recover−62.9%Recorded
A bad month, one in twenty95% historical value at risk over 30 days−28.3%Measured

The mechanical rows hold every other holding still, which is the optimistic case. This basket measured 0.67 correlation to bitcoin over its window: the holdings often move together, though less tightly than a broad crypto basket. Read the figures as a floor on the damage, never a ceiling.

Further reading

The research behind the construction

Tokenized equity execution is not open yet

Single stocks route through Dinari and ETF coverage through Backed Finance, settling on the EVM rail once identity checks clear. The execution surface for this family arrives with the next release. Composition, weights and the measured record above are current.