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OR6
OOR6 · Sector

Oracle Infrastructure 6

T2Under studyS −0.51
Reference net asset value
1,180.00usd

Calibrated launch value from the rulebook. This basket carries no order panel today.

Family
Sector
Risk profile
Conservative
Holdings
3
Weighting
LiquidityAdjustedCapped60
Rebalance
Not published
Sharpe grade
−0.51
The thesis

Why this basket exists

What the construction is trying to capture, who it is built for, and how it is meant to be sized inside a wider allocation.

Three oracle and data-layer protocols, concentrated at 60% for LINK to reflect its outsized share of institutional oracle volume. PYTH and API3 round out the basket. Concentrated allocation to oracle infrastructure as on-chain volume grows, BTC-correlated by design. Designed for thematic conviction on data-feed monetization rather than absolute outperformance. Diversification benefit is intra-sector. The prior long-tail constituents (BAND, TRB, DIA) were removed after the 2024 to 2025 drawdown.

  • Sector family · Conservative risk tier
  • Rule-based, divisor-method NAV

No committee note is published for this basket yet. The text above is its catalogue description; the framing beside it is derived from the mandate and the risk tier.

How it is meant to be used
Built forAllocators with strict drawdown caps and Tier 1 mandates.
Typical sizing30 to 60% of a crypto sleeve
Weighting ruleLiquidityAdjustedCapped60
Risk tierConservative
Composition

3 holdings, drawn to scale

Each tile's area is its weight in the basket, so the picture and the table below it are the same data read two ways.

Weight by area
3 holdings
LINK · 65% of the basketLINK65%PYTH · 25% of the basketPYTH25%API3 · 10% of the basketAPI310%
Largest holding
LINK 65.0%
The single name that moves net asset value most.
Top three
100.0%
Share of the basket held by its three largest names.
Effective holdings
2.02
Equal weight equivalent of 3 named positions.
Published weights
largest first
Published weights for all 3 holdings, largest first.
HoldingShareWeight
01LINK65%
02PYTH25%
03API310%
Total100%
Holdings

Why each name earned its seat

Research notes per constituent: the case for the asset, the regime that suits it, and the risk the seat carries.

  • LINK65%Infrastructure

    Chainlink is the dominant oracle network and the only institutional-grade middleware token in the catalogue. CCIP makes it the de facto oracle layer for tokenized assets.

    Performs in oracle-narrative phases and RWA cycles. Underperforms in pure-crypto retail rotations where infrastructure is unfashionable.

    middleware competition
  • PYTH25%Growth

    Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.

  • API310%Growth

    Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.

The record

What the numbers say

Simulated on historical constituent prices. A Sharpe is only published once the measured window clears 90 days, and drawdowns keep their sign.

Backtested record
844 day window
Sharpe grade
−0.51Negative
Measured over 844 days against a bitcoin reference of 0.33.
Total return
−65.4%
Across the full window, simulated.
Max drawdown
−80.4%
Deepest peak to trough. 417 days to recover.
Annualised volatility
72.2%
Standard deviation of daily returns, annualised.
Beta vs bitcoin
1.33
Correlation 0.73.
Effective holdings
2.02
Of 3 named. Equal weight equivalent, from the published weights.
Simulated rebalance
Quarterly
Backtest assumption, not a published cadence.
Jensen alpha
−54.9%
Excess over what beta to bitcoin alone explains.
R squared
0.54
Share of the basket's moves bitcoin explains.
Bitcoin reference · Sharpe 0.33 · max drawdown −76.6%
OCBE100 reference · Sharpe 0.34 · max drawdown −61.1%

Every figure above is simulated on historical constituent prices for a basket that has not traded. It describes how the rules would have behaved, not how they will behave. OOR6 is part of a public preview.

Loss tail
95% VaR · loss tailhistorical
1-week · 7d−17%
1-month · 30d−31%

Max expected loss over the horizon · 95% confidence · historical distribution. There is a 5% chance the actual loss is larger.

Across timeframes
vs bitcoin
Simulated return for this basket over five windows, with a Sharpe and a comparison with bitcoin wherever the window is long enough to publish one.
WindowReturnSharpevs BTC
Full window−65.4%−0.51−1.23
1 year−49.2%−0.72+0.11
6 months−34.8%−1.02−0.34
3 months+8.4%0.80−2.60
1 month−3.2%Not graded·

Returns are simulated over each window. A Sharpe is published only once that window clears 90 days, so the shorter rows read Not graded and carry no comparison with bitcoin. Short windows flatter and punish at random; read the full window first and treat the rest as texture.

Risk

What could go wrong

Priced off this basket's own weights rather than off a generic disclaimer, so every figure below can be checked against the table above.

Drawdowns are bounded relative to the broader crypto market. Constituent caps and liquidity filters contain concentration risk. Full risk parameters live in the methodology rulebook.

Structural flags
5 on this basket
  • Single-name concentrationHigh

    LINK carries 65% of the basket. A drawdown in this single name materially moves NAV.

  • Short price historyMedium

    PYTH have under a year of usable history. Backtest metrics carry wider error bars.

  • Elevated volatilityMedium

    Backtest annualised vol 72%. See the backtest panel above for the full risk numbers.

  • Deep historical drawdownHigh

    Max drawdown reached −80% in the backtest window. Size accordingly.

  • Pre-live statusLow

    Watchlist index. NAV is computed but the basket isn't yet open for live allocation.

If it goes wrong
effect on net asset value
4 downside scenarios for this basket, and the loss each one would put on net asset value.
ScenarioLoss on net asset value
LINK loses half its valueLargest holding, 65.0% of the basket−32.5%Mechanical
The three largest holdings fall 30%LINK, PYTH, API3 · 100.0% of the basket together−30.0%Mechanical
The deepest simulated fall repeatsRecorded once in the window, 417 days to recover−80.4%Recorded
A bad month, one in twenty95% historical value at risk over 30 days−30.8%Measured

The mechanical rows hold every other holding still, which is the optimistic case. This basket measured 0.73 correlation to bitcoin over its window: the holdings often move together, though less tightly than a broad crypto basket. Read the figures as a floor on the damage, never a ceiling.

Further reading

The research behind the construction

Worth a second look later

OOR6 is under methodology review, so it carries no buy action today. The weights and the cadence are still being settled, and publishing an order panel over rules that are about to change would be the wrong kind of confidence. Everything above stays on the page while the work runs: the composition, the measured record and the risk flags all move with the research.