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TR6
OTR6 · Real world assets

Tokenization Rails 6

T1Under studyS −0.03Forward
Reference net asset value
1,500.00usd

Calibrated launch value from the rulebook. This basket carries no order panel today.

Family
Real world assets
Risk profile
Moderate
Holdings
6
Weighting
LiquidityAdjustedCapped35
Rebalance
Not published
Sharpe grade
−0.03
The thesis

Why this basket exists

What the construction is trying to capture, who it is built for, and how it is meant to be sized inside a wider allocation.

The enterprise tokenization plumbing rebuilt around the rails that actually carry institutional asset issuance today. Chainlink deepens to a 35% anchor on the strength of CCIP plus proof-of-reserve adoption. Hedera moves to 22% on the back of a live Big Four pilot pipeline. Ondo enters at 14% as the category-defining tokenized-treasury brand. Stellar caps at 12% to retain the Franklin Templeton money-market fund reference. Quant holds 8% until its cross-chain orchestration validates at scale. PAXG closes the basket at 9% as a settled, real-value reference asset. The 2021-vintage enterprise narratives (Algorand, VeChain) leave the basket in the 2026-05 refactor.

  • RWA family · Moderate risk tier
  • Rule-based, divisor-method NAV

No committee note is published for this basket yet. The text above is its catalogue description; the framing beside it is derived from the mandate and the risk tier.

How it is meant to be used
Built forGeneralist crypto allocators with a multi-quarter horizon.
Typical sizing20 to 40% of a crypto sleeve
Weighting ruleLiquidityAdjustedCapped35
Risk tierModerate
Composition

6 holdings, drawn to scale

Each tile's area is its weight in the basket, so the picture and the table below it are the same data read two ways.

Weight by area
6 holdings
LINK · 35% of the basketLINK35%HBAR · 22% of the basketHBAR22%ONDO · 14% of the basketONDO14%XLM · 12% of the basketXLM12%PAXG · 9% of the basketPAXG9%QNT · 8% of the basketQNT8%
Largest holding
LINK 35.0%
The single name that moves net asset value most.
Top three
71.0%
Share of the basket held by its three largest names.
Effective holdings
4.56
Equal weight equivalent of 6 named positions.
Published weights
largest first
Published weights for all 6 holdings, largest first.
HoldingShareWeight
01LINK35%
02HBAR22%
03ONDO14%
04XLM12%
05PAXG9%
06QNT8%
Total100%
Holdings

Why each name earned its seat

Research notes per constituent: the case for the asset, the regime that suits it, and the risk the seat carries.

  • LINK35%Infrastructure

    Chainlink is the dominant oracle network and the only institutional-grade middleware token in the catalogue. CCIP makes it the de facto oracle layer for tokenized assets.

    Performs in oracle-narrative phases and RWA cycles. Underperforms in pure-crypto retail rotations where infrastructure is unfashionable.

    middleware competition
  • HBAR22%Infrastructure

    Hedera is the enterprise-grade DLT used by Google, IBM, Boeing, and the Big Four for tokenization and accounting pilots.

    Performs in enterprise-adoption and tokenization-narrative phases. Lower correlation to crypto retail beta because the holder base skews institutional.

    governance-model novelty
  • ONDO14%Yield

    Ondo Finance is the largest tokenized treasury issuer and a category-defining brand in the RWA stack.

    Performs in RWA-narrative phases and high-rate regimes. Underperforms in pure-crypto altcoin cycles and if rate cuts compress treasury yields.

    regulatory uncertaintyrate-cycle sensitivity
  • XLM12%Infrastructure

    Stellar is the longest-running tokenized-payments network and the rails for the Franklin Templeton on-chain money-market fund.

    Performs in payments and tokenized-treasury narrative phases. Underperforms in DeFi or smart-contract-led cycles.

    narrow product surface
  • PAXG9%Hedge

    PAX Gold is the largest tokenized physical gold asset on-chain. The cleanest macro-hedge expression in an on-chain portfolio.

    Performs in flight-to-quality, stagflation, and dollar-weakness regimes. Underperforms in pro-risk crypto cycles.

    custody concentration
  • QNT8%Infrastructure

    Quant Network operates Overledger, the cross-chain orchestration layer used by HSBC, Santander, and the Bank of England's CBDC sandbox.

    Performs in CBDC-narrative phases. Lower correlation to retail crypto cycles because of the institutional holder base.

    thin liquidityconcentrated supply
The record

What the numbers say

Simulated on historical constituent prices. A Sharpe is only published once the measured window clears 90 days, and drawdowns keep their sign.

Backtested record
721 day window
Sharpe grade
−0.03Negative
Measured over 721 days against a bitcoin reference of 0.33.
Total return
−3.3%
Across the full window, simulated.
Max drawdown
−67.7%
Deepest peak to trough. 426 days to recover.
Annualised volatility
63.2%
Standard deviation of daily returns, annualised.
Beta vs bitcoin
1.19
Correlation 0.72.
Effective holdings
4.56
Of 6 named. Equal weight equivalent, from the published weights.
Simulated rebalance
Quarterly
Backtest assumption, not a published cadence.
Jensen alpha
−5.0%
Excess over what beta to bitcoin alone explains.
R squared
0.52
Share of the basket's moves bitcoin explains.
Bitcoin reference · Sharpe 0.33 · max drawdown −76.6%
OCBE100 reference · Sharpe 0.34 · max drawdown −61.1%

Every figure above is simulated on historical constituent prices for a basket that has not traded. It describes how the rules would have behaved, not how they will behave. OTR6 is part of a public preview.

Loss tail
95% VaR · loss tailhistorical
1-week · 7d−13%
1-month · 30d−24%

Max expected loss over the horizon · 95% confidence · historical distribution. There is a 5% chance the actual loss is larger.

Across timeframes
vs bitcoin
Simulated return for this basket over five windows, with a Sharpe and a comparison with bitcoin wherever the window is long enough to publish one.
WindowReturnSharpevs BTC
Full window−3.3%−0.03−0.15
1 year−34.3%−0.63+0.20
6 months−24.7%−0.93−0.25
3 months+16.2%2.13−1.28
1 month+9.3%Not graded·

Returns are simulated over each window. A Sharpe is published only once that window clears 90 days, so the shorter rows read Not graded and carry no comparison with bitcoin. Short windows flatter and punish at random; read the full window first and treat the rest as texture.

Risk

What could go wrong

Priced off this basket's own weights rather than off a generic disclaimer, so every figure below can be checked against the table above.

Drawdowns of 30 to 50% are within historical range during cycle bottoms, tracking the broader crypto market. Family-standard caps and rebalancing rules apply.

Structural flags
3 on this basket
  • Single-name concentrationMedium

    LINK carries 35% of the basket. A drawdown in this single name materially moves NAV.

  • Short price historyMedium

    ONDO have under a year of usable history. Backtest metrics carry wider error bars.

  • Deep historical drawdownMedium

    Max drawdown reached −68% in the backtest window. Size accordingly.

If it goes wrong
effect on net asset value
4 downside scenarios for this basket, and the loss each one would put on net asset value.
ScenarioLoss on net asset value
LINK loses half its valueLargest holding, 35.0% of the basket−17.5%Mechanical
The three largest holdings fall 30%LINK, HBAR, ONDO · 71.0% of the basket together−21.3%Mechanical
The deepest simulated fall repeatsRecorded once in the window, 426 days to recover−67.7%Recorded
A bad month, one in twenty95% historical value at risk over 30 days−24.2%Measured

The mechanical rows hold every other holding still, which is the optimistic case. This basket measured 0.72 correlation to bitcoin over its window: the holdings often move together, though less tightly than a broad crypto basket. Read the figures as a floor on the damage, never a ceiling.

Further reading

The research behind the construction

Worth a second look later

OTR6 is under methodology review, so it carries no buy action today. The weights and the cadence are still being settled, and publishing an order panel over rules that are about to change would be the wrong kind of confidence. Everything above stays on the page while the work runs: the composition, the measured record and the risk flags all move with the research.