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ML4
OML4 · Thematic

Meme Legacy 4

T3RetiredS 0.10
Reference net asset value
165.80usd

Calibrated launch value from the rulebook. This basket carries no order panel today.

Family
Thematic
Risk profile
Aggressive
Holdings
4
Weighting
Market cap, 40% cap
Rebalance
Not published
Sharpe grade
0.10
The thesis

Why this basket exists

What the construction is trying to capture, who it is built for, and how it is meant to be sized inside a wider allocation.

Four original meme tokens that survived multiple cycles: DOGE, SHIB, PEPE and FLOKI. Weighted toward DOGE at 40% because it has the longest survival record. A heritage allocation rather than a forward thesis.

  • ThematicBeta family · Aggressive risk tier
  • Rule-based, divisor-method NAV

No committee note is published for this basket yet. The text above is its catalogue description; the framing beside it is derived from the mandate and the risk tier.

How it is meant to be used
Built forTactical sleeves only. Position size proportional to conviction.
Typical sizing1 to 5% of a crypto sleeve, tactical
Weighting ruleMarket cap, 40% cap
Risk tierAggressive
Composition

4 holdings, drawn to scale

Each tile's area is its weight in the basket, so the picture and the table below it are the same data read two ways.

Weight by area
4 holdings
DOGE · 40% of the basketDOGE40%SHIB · 30% of the basketSHIB30%PEPE · 20% of the basketPEPE20%FLOKI · 10% of the basketFLOKI10%
Largest holding
DOGE 40.0%
The single name that moves net asset value most.
Top three
90.0%
Share of the basket held by its three largest names.
Effective holdings
3.33
Equal weight equivalent of 4 named positions.
Published weights
largest first
Published weights for all 4 holdings, largest first.
HoldingShareWeight
01DOGE40%
02SHIB30%
03PEPE20%
04FLOKI10%
Total100%
Holdings

Why each name earned its seat

Research notes per constituent: the case for the asset, the regime that suits it, and the risk the seat carries.

  • DOGE40%Growth

    Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.

  • SHIB30%Growth

    Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.

  • PEPE20%Growth

    Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.

  • FLOKI10%Growth

    Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.

The record

What the numbers say

Simulated on historical constituent prices. A Sharpe is only published once the measured window clears 90 days, and drawdowns keep their sign.

Backtested record
1117 day window
Sharpe grade
0.10Thin
Measured over 1117 days against a bitcoin reference of 0.33.
Total return
+24.6%
Across the full window, simulated.
Max drawdown
−83.5%
Deepest peak to trough. 455 days to recover.
Annualised volatility
75.5%
Standard deviation of daily returns, annualised.
Beta vs bitcoin
1.49
Correlation 0.76.
Effective holdings
3.33
Of 4 named. Equal weight equivalent, from the published weights.
Simulated rebalance
Quarterly
Backtest assumption, not a published cadence.
Jensen alpha
−27.5%
Excess over what beta to bitcoin alone explains.
R squared
0.58
Share of the basket's moves bitcoin explains.
Bitcoin reference · Sharpe 0.33 · max drawdown −76.6%
OCBE100 reference · Sharpe 0.34 · max drawdown −61.1%

Every figure above is simulated on historical constituent prices for a basket that has not traded. It describes how the rules would have behaved, not how they will behave. OML4 is part of a public preview.

Loss tail
95% VaR · loss tailhistorical
1-week · 7d−17%
1-month · 30d−30%

Max expected loss over the horizon · 95% confidence · historical distribution. There is a 5% chance the actual loss is larger.

Across timeframes
vs bitcoin
Simulated return for this basket over five windows, with a Sharpe and a comparison with bitcoin wherever the window is long enough to publish one.
WindowReturnSharpevs BTC
Full window+24.6%0.10−0.87
1 year−61.6%−0.93−0.10
6 months−32.1%−0.89−0.21
3 months+2.5%0.24−3.17
1 month−2.9%Not graded·

Returns are simulated over each window. A Sharpe is published only once that window clears 90 days, so the shorter rows read Not graded and carry no comparison with bitcoin. Short windows flatter and punish at random; read the full window first and treat the rest as texture.

Risk

What could go wrong

Priced off this basket's own weights rather than off a generic disclaimer, so every figure below can be checked against the table above.

Highly volatile. Expect 50% or deeper drawdowns. Position size proportional to conviction; this is a tactical sleeve, not a buy-and-hold position.

Structural flags
5 on this basket
  • Single-name concentrationHigh

    DOGE carries 40% of the basket. A drawdown in this single name materially moves NAV.

  • High-beta sleeveHigh

    Meme/momentum subcategory. Expect 50%+ drawdowns. Tactical sleeve sizing only.

  • Elevated volatilityMedium

    Backtest annualised vol 75%. See the backtest panel above for the full risk numbers.

  • Deep historical drawdownHigh

    Max drawdown reached −84% in the backtest window. Size accordingly.

  • Pre-live statusLow

    Preview index. NAV is computed but the basket isn't yet open for live allocation.

If it goes wrong
effect on net asset value
4 downside scenarios for this basket, and the loss each one would put on net asset value.
ScenarioLoss on net asset value
DOGE loses half its valueLargest holding, 40.0% of the basket−20.0%Mechanical
The three largest holdings fall 30%DOGE, SHIB, PEPE · 90.0% of the basket together−27.0%Mechanical
The deepest simulated fall repeatsRecorded once in the window, 455 days to recover−83.5%Recorded
A bad month, one in twenty95% historical value at risk over 30 days−30.0%Measured

The mechanical rows hold every other holding still, which is the optimistic case. This basket measured 0.76 correlation to bitcoin over its window, so its holdings tend to fall together rather than one at a time. Read the figures as a floor on the damage, never a ceiling.

Further reading

The research behind the construction

This strategy has been shelved

Consolidated into OMM6. OML4 carried four of the same six constituents already in the meme-majors basket and added no incremental cycle-survival signal that OMM6 did not already encode through its market-cap cap. Maintaining both confused the thematic shelf.

Retired 2026-05-24