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IB8
OICB8 · Sector

Interchain Base 8

T2Under studyS −0.68Forward
Reference net asset value
380.25usd

Calibrated launch value from the rulebook. This basket carries no order panel today.

Family
Sector
Risk profile
Moderate
Holdings
8
Weighting
Liquidity adjusted
Rebalance
Not published
Sharpe grade
−0.68
The thesis

Why this basket exists

What the construction is trying to capture, who it is built for, and how it is meant to be sized inside a wider allocation.

Eight interoperability and foundation-layer protocols, recentred in the 2026-05 refactor around survivors with live cross-chain throughput. Celestia anchors at 30% as the data-availability category leader. LayerZero takes 20% on the messaging share that legacy bridges targeted but lost. Sui and TON each enter at 14% to extend the construction beyond IBC into modular coordination broadly. Wormhole retains 8% on real bridge volume. Axelar holds 6% as a diversifier despite share loss to ZRO. Cosmos Hub and Polkadot keep capped 4% references rather than dominating slots. Dymension and Saga exit. The basket converges thematically with the refactored OCOS6 by design.

  • Sector family · Moderate risk tier
  • Rule-based, divisor-method NAV

No committee note is published for this basket yet. The text above is its catalogue description; the framing beside it is derived from the mandate and the risk tier.

How it is meant to be used
Built forGeneralist crypto allocators with a multi-quarter horizon.
Typical sizing20 to 40% of a crypto sleeve
Weighting ruleLiquidity adjusted
Risk tierModerate
Composition

8 holdings, drawn to scale

Each tile's area is its weight in the basket, so the picture and the table below it are the same data read two ways.

Weight by area
8 holdings
TIA · 30% of the basketTIA30%ZRO · 20% of the basketZRO20%SUI · 14% of the basketSUI14%TON · 14% of the basketTON14%W · 8% of the basketW8%AXL · 6% of the basketAXL6%ATOM · 4% of the basketATOM4%DOT · 4% of the basketDOT4%
Largest holding
TIA 30.0%
The single name that moves net asset value most.
Top three
64.0%
Share of the basket held by its three largest names.
Effective holdings
5.48
Equal weight equivalent of 8 named positions.
Published weights
largest first
Published weights for all 8 holdings, largest first.
HoldingShareWeight
01TIA30%
02ZRO20%
03SUI14%
04TON14%
05W8%
06AXL6%
07ATOM4%
08DOT4%
Total100%
Holdings

Why each name earned its seat

Research notes per constituent: the case for the asset, the regime that suits it, and the risk the seat carries.

  • TIA30%Growth

    Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.

  • ZRO20%Growth

    Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.

  • SUI14%Growth

    Sui is the Move-language L1 spun out of the Diem project. Parallel-execution architecture targets the throughput ceiling that Solana hits during congestion.

    Higher beta than the established L1s. Outperforms during alt-L1 rotation and on technical-narrative catalysts. Drawdowns pronounced in flight-to-quality.

    sub-3y historyventure overhang
  • TON14%Growth

    TON is the Telegram-native blockchain with the largest captive user base in crypto. The Telegram integration is a distribution advantage no other L1 can replicate.

    Best in adoption-narrative phases driven by Telegram launches. Lower correlation to BTC than alt-L1 peers because of the distinct user base.

    Telegram product dependenceregulatory exposure
  • W8%Growth

    Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.

Show the remaining 3 holdings
  • AXL6%Growth

    Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.

  • ATOM4%Infrastructure

    Cosmos is the original interchain layer and remains the canonical IBC asset. The ecosystem of sovereign chains keeps the hub relevant even as hub-token economics lag.

    Outperforms in interchain or modular cycles. Lags when the ICS revenue thesis fails to translate into token accrual, which has been most of 2024 to 2026.

    weak token accrual
  • DOT4%Infrastructure

    Polkadot is the parachain coordination layer with one of the longest live interoperability stories in crypto. Its position has eroded against modular alternatives.

    Lags in modular-blockchain narratives where Celestia and Cosmos take share. Performs in interoperability-narrative cycles and on JAM milestones.

    share loss to modular peers
The record

What the numbers say

Simulated on historical constituent prices. A Sharpe is only published once the measured window clears 90 days, and drawdowns keep their sign.

Backtested record
656 day window
Sharpe grade
−0.68Negative
Measured over 656 days against a bitcoin reference of 0.33.
Total return
−70.2%
Across the full window, simulated.
Max drawdown
−88.4%
Deepest peak to trough. 426 days to recover.
Annualised volatility
72.5%
Standard deviation of daily returns, annualised.
Beta vs bitcoin
1.39
Correlation 0.72.
Effective holdings
5.48
Of 8 named. Equal weight equivalent, from the published weights.
Simulated rebalance
Quarterly
Backtest assumption, not a published cadence.
Jensen alpha
−58.7%
Excess over what beta to bitcoin alone explains.
R squared
0.52
Share of the basket's moves bitcoin explains.
Bitcoin reference · Sharpe 0.33 · max drawdown −76.6%
OCBE100 reference · Sharpe 0.34 · max drawdown −61.1%

Every figure above is simulated on historical constituent prices for a basket that has not traded. It describes how the rules would have behaved, not how they will behave. OICB8 is part of a public preview.

Loss tail
95% VaR · loss tailhistorical
1-week · 7d−17%
1-month · 30d−32%

Max expected loss over the horizon · 95% confidence · historical distribution. There is a 5% chance the actual loss is larger.

Across timeframes
vs bitcoin
Simulated return for this basket over five windows, with a Sharpe and a comparison with bitcoin wherever the window is long enough to publish one.
WindowReturnSharpevs BTC
Full window−70.2%−0.68−1.03
1 year−66.2%−0.94−0.11
6 months−18.3%−0.54+0.14
3 months+20.2%1.94−1.47
1 month+10.7%Not graded·

Returns are simulated over each window. A Sharpe is published only once that window clears 90 days, so the shorter rows read Not graded and carry no comparison with bitcoin. Short windows flatter and punish at random; read the full window first and treat the rest as texture.

Risk

What could go wrong

Priced off this basket's own weights rather than off a generic disclaimer, so every figure below can be checked against the table above.

Drawdowns of 30 to 50% are within historical range during cycle bottoms, tracking the broader crypto market. Family-standard caps and rebalancing rules apply.

Structural flags
5 on this basket
  • Top-name weightLow

    TIA is the largest position at 30%. Capped by methodology but still drives index direction.

  • Short price historyMedium

    TIA have under a year of usable history. Backtest metrics carry wider error bars.

  • Elevated volatilityMedium

    Backtest annualised vol 73%. See the backtest panel above for the full risk numbers.

  • Deep historical drawdownHigh

    Max drawdown reached −88% in the backtest window. Size accordingly.

  • Pre-live statusLow

    Second Wave index. NAV is computed but the basket isn't yet open for live allocation.

If it goes wrong
effect on net asset value
4 downside scenarios for this basket, and the loss each one would put on net asset value.
ScenarioLoss on net asset value
TIA loses half its valueLargest holding, 30.0% of the basket−15.0%Mechanical
The three largest holdings fall 30%TIA, ZRO, SUI · 64.0% of the basket together−19.2%Mechanical
The deepest simulated fall repeatsRecorded once in the window, 426 days to recover−88.4%Recorded
A bad month, one in twenty95% historical value at risk over 30 days−32.2%Measured

The mechanical rows hold every other holding still, which is the optimistic case. This basket measured 0.72 correlation to bitcoin over its window: the holdings often move together, though less tightly than a broad crypto basket. Read the figures as a floor on the damage, never a ceiling.

Further reading

The research behind the construction

Worth a second look later

OICB8 is under methodology review, so it carries no buy action today. The weights and the cadence are still being settled, and publishing an order panel over rules that are about to change would be the wrong kind of confidence. Everything above stays on the page while the work runs: the composition, the measured record and the risk flags all move with the research.