FOMO Tracker 6
Calibrated launch value from the rulebook. This basket carries no order panel today.
Why this basket exists
What the construction is trying to capture, who it is built for, and how it is meant to be sized inside a wider allocation.
Six tokens with the most violent 30-day rallies, rebalanced weekly. Buy high, sell higher. The momentum factor in its purest form, with the corresponding drawdown profile. A trading instrument, not a holding.
- Curio family · Aggressive risk tier
- Rule-based, divisor-method NAV
No committee note is published for this basket yet. The text above is its catalogue description; the framing beside it is derived from the mandate and the risk tier.
6 holdings, drawn to scale
Each tile's area is its weight in the basket, so the picture and the table below it are the same data read two ways.
| Holding | Share | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01TAO | 22% | ||
| 02RENDER | 18% | ||
| 03PENDLE | 16% | ||
| 04SUI | 16% | ||
| 05JUP | 14% | ||
| 06ONDO | 14% | ||
| Total | 100% |
Why each name earned its seat
Research notes per constituent: the case for the asset, the regime that suits it, and the risk the seat carries.
- TAO22%Growth
Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.
- RENDER18%Growth
Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.
- PENDLE16%Yield
Pendle is the leading yield-trading protocol in DeFi. Tokenizes future yield into principal and yield tokens so traders can express directional yield views.
Performs in restaking and high-yield regimes. Underperforms when underlying yields compress or restaking narratives cool.
yield-curve regime risk - SUI16%Growth
Sui is the Move-language L1 spun out of the Diem project. Parallel-execution architecture targets the throughput ceiling that Solana hits during congestion.
Higher beta than the established L1s. Outperforms during alt-L1 rotation and on technical-narrative catalysts. Drawdowns pronounced in flight-to-quality.
sub-3y historyventure overhang - JUP14%Growth
Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.
- ONDO14%Yield
Ondo Finance is the largest tokenized treasury issuer and a category-defining brand in the RWA stack.
Performs in RWA-narrative phases and high-rate regimes. Underperforms in pure-crypto altcoin cycles and if rate cuts compress treasury yields.
regulatory uncertaintyrate-cycle sensitivity
What the numbers say
Simulated on historical constituent prices. A Sharpe is only published once the measured window clears 90 days, and drawdowns keep their sign.
Every figure above is simulated on historical constituent prices for a basket that has not traded. It describes how the rules would have behaved, not how they will behave. OFOMO6 is part of a public preview.
Max expected loss over the horizon · 95% confidence · historical distribution. There is a 5% chance the actual loss is larger.
| Window | Return | Sharpe | vs BTC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full window | −33.1% | −0.26 | −0.45 |
| 1 year | −51.0% | −0.73 | +0.10 |
| 6 months | −9.4% | −0.28 | +0.41 |
| 3 months | +59.0% | 9.87 | +6.46 |
| 1 month | +25.3% | Not graded | · |
Returns are simulated over each window. A Sharpe is published only once that window clears 90 days, so the shorter rows read Not graded and carry no comparison with bitcoin. Short windows flatter and punish at random; read the full window first and treat the rest as texture.
What could go wrong
Priced off this basket's own weights rather than off a generic disclaimer, so every figure below can be checked against the table above.
Highly volatile. Expect 50% or deeper drawdowns. Position size proportional to conviction; this is a tactical sleeve, not a buy-and-hold position.
- Top-name weightLow
TAO is the largest position at 22%. Capped by methodology but still drives index direction.
- Short price historyHigh
TAO, ONDO, PENDLE and 1 more have under a year of usable history. Backtest metrics carry wider error bars.
- Editorial sleeveHigh
Curio family. Lab-corner index: preview only, not sized for institutional mandates.
- Elevated volatilityMedium
Backtest annualised vol 75%. See the backtest panel above for the full risk numbers.
- Deep historical drawdownHigh
Max drawdown reached −83% in the backtest window. Size accordingly.
- Pre-live statusLow
Preview index. NAV is computed but the basket isn't yet open for live allocation.
| Scenario | Loss on net asset value |
|---|---|
| TAO loses half its valueLargest holding, 22.0% of the basket | −11.0%Mechanical |
| The three largest holdings fall 30%TAO, RENDER, PENDLE · 56.0% of the basket together | −16.8%Mechanical |
| The deepest simulated fall repeatsRecorded once in the window, 432 days to recover | −82.7%Recorded |
| A bad month, one in twenty95% historical value at risk over 30 days | −32.5%Measured |
The mechanical rows hold every other holding still, which is the optimistic case. This basket measured 0.80 correlation to bitcoin over its window, so its holdings tend to fall together rather than one at a time. Read the figures as a floor on the damage, never a ceiling.
The research behind the construction
Worth a second look later
OFOMO6 is under methodology review, so it carries no buy action today. The weights and the cadence are still being settled, and publishing an order panel over rules that are about to change would be the wrong kind of confidence. Everything above stays on the page while the work runs: the composition, the measured record and the risk flags all move with the research.