DeFi Income 8
Calibrated launch value from the rulebook. This basket carries no order panel today.
Why this basket exists
What the construction is trying to capture, who it is built for, and how it is meant to be sized inside a wider allocation.
Eight DeFi blue chips selected for fee generation and cash-flow visibility. UNI, AAVE and SKY anchor on real transaction-flow revenue. PENDLE captures the yield-trading category, MORPHO covers lending TVL share, ETHFI brings restaking fee accrual, HYPE provides exposure to live derivatives venue economics. The 2026-05 refactor removed the stale-DeFi cluster (CRV, CVX, SNX, DYDX) and rebuilt around protocols with current fee accrual. The cleanest 'DeFi as a cash-flow business' expression.
- Strategy family · Moderate risk tier
- Rule-based, divisor-method NAV
No committee note is published for this basket yet. The text above is its catalogue description; the framing beside it is derived from the mandate and the risk tier.
7 holdings, drawn to scale
Each tile's area is its weight in the basket, so the picture and the table below it are the same data read two ways.
| Holding | Share | Weight | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01UNI | 24% | ||
| 02AAVE | 22% | ||
| 03SKY | 18% | ||
| 04PENDLE | 16% | ||
| 05MORPHO | 10% | ||
| 06ETHFI | 6% | ||
| 07HYPE | 4% | ||
| Total | 100% |
Why each name earned its seat
Research notes per constituent: the case for the asset, the regime that suits it, and the risk the seat carries.
- UNI24%Yield
Uniswap is the largest DEX by spot volume and the canonical on-chain trading-fee asset. The fee switch in v4 routes a share of trading fees to UNI holders.
Performs in retail-trading cycles. Underperforms when volume shifts to centralized venues or to perpetuals.
fee-switch governance risk - AAVE22%Yield
Aave is the largest lending protocol in DeFi by TVL and the canonical on-chain credit cash-flow asset.
Performs in DeFi-led cycles and high-utilization lending regimes. Underperforms when leverage demand collapses.
smart-contract exposure - SKY18%Yield
Sky (formerly MakerDAO) operates the USDS and DAI stablecoin franchises and routes meaningful collateral into RWA strategies.
Performs in RWA-narrative and high-rate regimes when RWA collateral earns wide spreads. Sensitive to DAI peg incidents and stablecoin regulation.
stablecoin regulationpeg event risk - PENDLE16%Yield
Pendle is the leading yield-trading protocol in DeFi. Tokenizes future yield into principal and yield tokens so traders can express directional yield views.
Performs in restaking and high-yield regimes. Underperforms when underlying yields compress or restaking narratives cool.
yield-curve regime risk - MORPHO10%Growth
Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.
Show the remaining 2 holdings
- ETHFI6%Growth
Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.
- HYPE4%Growth
Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.
What the numbers say
Simulated on historical constituent prices. A Sharpe is only published once the measured window clears 90 days, and drawdowns keep their sign.
Every figure above is simulated on historical constituent prices for a basket that has not traded. It describes how the rules would have behaved, not how they will behave. ODI8 is part of a public preview.
Max expected loss over the horizon · 95% confidence · historical distribution. There is a 5% chance the actual loss is larger.
| Window | Return | Sharpe | vs BTC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Full window | −45.1% | −0.94 | +0.35 |
| 1 year | −45.1% | −0.94 | +0.35 |
| 6 months | −18.1% | −0.60 | +0.08 |
| 3 months | +7.9% | 0.72 | −2.69 |
| 1 month | +4.7% | Not graded | · |
Returns are simulated over each window. A Sharpe is published only once that window clears 90 days, so the shorter rows read Not graded and carry no comparison with bitcoin. Short windows flatter and punish at random; read the full window first and treat the rest as texture.
What could go wrong
Priced off this basket's own weights rather than off a generic disclaimer, so every figure below can be checked against the table above.
Drawdowns of 30 to 50% are within historical range during cycle bottoms, tracking the broader crypto market. Family-standard caps and rebalancing rules apply.
- Top-name weightLow
UNI is the largest position at 24%. Capped by methodology but still drives index direction.
- Short price historyMedium
SKY, PENDLE have under a year of usable history. Backtest metrics carry wider error bars.
- Deep historical drawdownMedium
Max drawdown reached −58% in the backtest window. Size accordingly.
- Pre-live statusLow
Second Wave index. NAV is computed but the basket isn't yet open for live allocation.
| Scenario | Loss on net asset value |
|---|---|
| UNI loses half its valueLargest holding, 24.0% of the basket | −12.0%Mechanical |
| The three largest holdings fall 30%UNI, AAVE, SKY · 64.0% of the basket together | −19.2%Mechanical |
| The deepest simulated fall repeatsRecorded once in the window, 122 days to recover | −58.2%Recorded |
| A bad month, one in twenty95% historical value at risk over 30 days | −26.0%Measured |
The mechanical rows hold every other holding still, which is the optimistic case. This basket measured 0.82 correlation to bitcoin over its window, so its holdings tend to fall together rather than one at a time. Read the figures as a floor on the damage, never a ceiling.
The research behind the construction
Worth a second look later
ODI8 is under methodology review, so it carries no buy action today. The weights and the cadence are still being settled, and publishing an order panel over rules that are about to change would be the wrong kind of confidence. Everything above stays on the page while the work runs: the composition, the measured record and the risk flags all move with the research.