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ODHAND6 · Curio

Diamond Hands 6

T3ConvictionS 0.90
Reference net asset value
5,240.00usd

Calibrated launch value from the rulebook. The live reading, the chart and the order panel sit on the desk.

Buy ODHAND6
Family
Curio
Risk profile
Conservative
Holdings
6
Weighting
Market cap, 40% cap
Rebalance
Drift banded at 25%
Sharpe grade
0.90
The thesis

Why this basket exists

What the construction is trying to capture, who it is built for, and how it is meant to be sized inside a wider allocation.

Six tokens whose holders rarely move them. Bitcoin and Ethereum anchor on the strength of their dormant-supply share. Litecoin and Bitcoin Cash retain places as the longest-running spinoffs with stable holder bases. Solana enters at 8% as a post-FTX survivor whose retained holder cohort actually fits the low-velocity thesis better than ICP did. PAXG closes the basket at 4% as the gold low-velocity reference. ETC and ICP exit in the 2026-05 refactor.

  • Curio family · Conservative risk tier
  • Rule-based, divisor-method NAV

No committee note is published for this basket yet. The text above is its catalogue description; the framing beside it is derived from the mandate and the risk tier.

How it is meant to be used
Built forAllocators with strict drawdown caps and Tier 1 mandates.
Typical sizing30 to 60% of a crypto sleeve
Weighting ruleMarket cap, 40% cap
Risk tierConservative
Composition

6 holdings, drawn to scale

Each tile's area is its weight in the basket, so the picture and the table below it are the same data read two ways.

Weight by area
6 holdings
BTC · 40% of the basketBTC40%ETH · 28% of the basketETH28%LTC · 12% of the basketLTC12%BCH · 8% of the basketBCH8%SOL · 8% of the basketSOL8%PAXG · 4% of the basketPAXG4%
Largest holding
BTC 40.0%
The single name that moves net asset value most.
Top three
80.0%
Share of the basket held by its three largest names.
Effective holdings
3.74
Equal weight equivalent of 6 named positions.
Published weights
largest first
Published weights for all 6 holdings, largest first.
HoldingShareWeight
01BTC40%
02ETH28%
03LTC12%
04BCH8%
05SOL8%
06PAXG4%
Total100%
Holdings

Why each name earned its seat

Research notes per constituent: the case for the asset, the regime that suits it, and the risk the seat carries.

  • BTC40%Core anchor

    Bitcoin is the only crypto asset that clears the institutional bar on every dimension: deepest order books, longest track record, lowest custody friction.

    Strongest in flight-to-quality and pro-risk macro phases when liquidity is abundant. Underperforms in altcoin rotations and AI-narrative cycles.

    concentration risk
  • ETH28%Core anchor

    Ethereum is the only smart-contract platform with the TVL, developer mindshare, and settlement depth to count as core infrastructure.

    Outperforms BTC in DeFi cycles and L2 adoption waves. Lags when narratives shift to alt-L1s or when L2 fragmentation eats into mainnet fee capture.

    fee-revenue regime risk
  • LTC12%Growth

    Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.

  • BCH8%Growth

    Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.

  • SOL8%Growth

    Solana is the highest-throughput smart-contract platform in production and the credible challenger to Ethereum at the application layer.

    Highest beta of the L1 majors. Outperforms in retail-led risk-on phases. Drawdowns sharper than BTC in flight-to-quality regimes.

    historical outagesvalidator concentration
  • PAXG4%Hedge

    PAX Gold is the largest tokenized physical gold asset on-chain. The cleanest macro-hedge expression in an on-chain portfolio.

    Performs in flight-to-quality, stagflation, and dollar-weakness regimes. Underperforms in pro-risk crypto cycles.

    custody concentration
The record

What the numbers say

Simulated on historical constituent prices. A Sharpe is only published once the measured window clears 90 days, and drawdowns keep their sign.

Backtested record
2097 day window
Sharpe grade
0.90Solid
Measured over 2097 days against a bitcoin reference of 0.33.
Total return
+871.7%
Across the full window, simulated.
Max drawdown
−77.9%
Deepest peak to trough. 365 days to recover.
Annualised volatility
54.1%
Standard deviation of daily returns, annualised.
Beta vs bitcoin
1.02
Correlation 0.92.
Effective holdings
3.74
Of 6 named. Equal weight equivalent, from the published weights.
Simulated rebalance
Quarterly
Backtest assumption, not a published cadence.
Jensen alpha
+3.9%
Excess over what beta to bitcoin alone explains.
R squared
0.84
Share of the basket's moves bitcoin explains.
Bitcoin reference · Sharpe 0.33 · max drawdown −76.6%
OCBE100 reference · Sharpe 0.34 · max drawdown −61.1%

Every figure above is simulated on historical constituent prices for a basket that has not traded. It describes how the rules would have behaved, not how they will behave. ODHAND6 is part of a public preview.

Loss tail
95% VaR · loss tailhistorical
1-week · 7d−12%
1-month · 30d−25%

Max expected loss over the horizon · 95% confidence · historical distribution. There is a 5% chance the actual loss is larger.

Across timeframes
vs bitcoin
Simulated return for this basket over five windows, with a Sharpe and a comparison with bitcoin wherever the window is long enough to publish one.
WindowReturnSharpevs BTC
Full window+871.7%0.90+0.08
1 year−24.1%−0.58+0.25
6 months−24.7%−1.04−0.36
3 months+10.4%1.40−2.01
1 month−5.4%Not graded·

Returns are simulated over each window. A Sharpe is published only once that window clears 90 days, so the shorter rows read Not graded and carry no comparison with bitcoin. Short windows flatter and punish at random; read the full window first and treat the rest as texture.

Risk

What could go wrong

Priced off this basket's own weights rather than off a generic disclaimer, so every figure below can be checked against the table above.

Drawdowns are bounded relative to the broader crypto market. Constituent caps and liquidity filters contain concentration risk. Full risk parameters live in the methodology rulebook.

Structural flags
3 on this basket
  • Single-name concentrationHigh

    BTC carries 40% of the basket. A drawdown in this single name materially moves NAV.

  • Editorial sleeveHigh

    Curio family. Lab-corner index: preview only, not sized for institutional mandates.

  • Deep historical drawdownHigh

    Max drawdown reached −78% in the backtest window. Size accordingly.

If it goes wrong
effect on net asset value
4 downside scenarios for this basket, and the loss each one would put on net asset value.
ScenarioLoss on net asset value
BTC loses half its valueLargest holding, 40.0% of the basket−20.0%Mechanical
The three largest holdings fall 30%BTC, ETH, LTC · 80.0% of the basket together−24.0%Mechanical
The deepest simulated fall repeatsRecorded once in the window, 365 days to recover−77.9%Recorded
A bad month, one in twenty95% historical value at risk over 30 days−25.1%Measured

The mechanical rows hold every other holding still, which is the optimistic case. This basket measured 0.92 correlation to bitcoin over its window, so its holdings tend to fall together rather than one at a time. Read the figures as a floor on the damage, never a ceiling.

Further reading

The research behind the construction

Take a position in ODHAND6

ConvictionSelective thematic allocation. Size it as a sleeve, not as a core position.

The desk carries the live net asset value, the chart and the order panel. Funds in this public preview are simulated, so an order here moves a simulated balance and settles nothing. The EVM settlement rail opens with mainnet in the first half of 2027.