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OBNB6 · Ecosystem

BNB Chain 6

T2Under studyS −0.67Cycle-tested
Reference net asset value
1,250.30usd

Calibrated launch value from the rulebook. This basket carries no order panel today.

Family
Ecosystem
Risk profile
Moderate
Holdings
6
Weighting
Market cap, 40% cap
Rebalance
Not published
Sharpe grade
−0.67
The thesis

Why this basket exists

What the construction is trying to capture, who it is built for, and how it is meant to be sized inside a wider allocation.

Six tokens with meaningful BNB Chain integration. BNB anchors at 42% on Binance native demand. PancakeSwap caps at 12% to keep DEX share exposure without overweighting a flat name. Injective deepens to 18% on cross-listed product traction. Pendle enters at 14% as a multi-chain yield-trading reference that includes BNB Chain deployments. Solv adds 8% on the BTCFi-on-BNB build. Venus retains 6% as the chain-native lending leg. Trust Wallet and MAGIC exit the basket in the 2026-05 refactor.

  • Ecosystem family · Moderate risk tier
  • Rule-based, divisor-method NAV

No committee note is published for this basket yet. The text above is its catalogue description; the framing beside it is derived from the mandate and the risk tier.

How it is meant to be used
Built forGeneralist crypto allocators with a multi-quarter horizon.
Typical sizing20 to 40% of a crypto sleeve
Weighting ruleMarket cap, 40% cap
Risk tierModerate
Composition

6 holdings, drawn to scale

Each tile's area is its weight in the basket, so the picture and the table below it are the same data read two ways.

Weight by area
6 holdings
BNB · 42% of the basketBNB42%INJ · 18% of the basketINJ18%PENDLE · 14% of the basketPENDLE14%CAKE · 12% of the basketCAKE12%SOLV · 8% of the basketSOLV8%XVS · 6% of the basketXVS6%
Largest holding
BNB 42.0%
The single name that moves net asset value most.
Top three
74.0%
Share of the basket held by its three largest names.
Effective holdings
3.96
Equal weight equivalent of 6 named positions.
Published weights
largest first
Published weights for all 6 holdings, largest first.
HoldingShareWeight
01BNB42%
02INJ18%
03PENDLE14%
04CAKE12%
05SOLV8%
06XVS6%
Total100%
Holdings

Why each name earned its seat

Research notes per constituent: the case for the asset, the regime that suits it, and the risk the seat carries.

  • BNB42%Core anchor

    BNB captures the cash flow of the largest centralized crypto exchange. Quarterly burn-and-buy gives it the cleanest token-to-revenue link of any major.

    Tracks Binance volume more than crypto beta. Faces regulatory tail risk when Binance is under enforcement scrutiny.

    regulatory tail riskexchange concentration
  • INJ18%Infrastructure

    Injective is the Cosmos-based L1 specialised for on-chain derivatives and the iAssets framework for tokenized equities.

    Performs in derivatives and RWA narrative phases. Sensitive to Cosmos ecosystem health and to iAssets adoption.

    narrow product surface
  • PENDLE14%Yield

    Pendle is the leading yield-trading protocol in DeFi. Tokenizes future yield into principal and yield tokens so traders can express directional yield views.

    Performs in restaking and high-yield regimes. Underperforms when underlying yields compress or restaking narratives cool.

    yield-curve regime risk
  • CAKE12%Growth

    Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.

  • SOLV8%Yield

    Solv Protocol tokenizes Bitcoin into yield-bearing instruments. SolvBTC is the largest BTC-yield product on-chain.

    Performs in Bitcoin-DeFi narrative phases. Sensitive to Babylon protocol health and BTC-yield primitive maturity.

    Babylon dependencethin float
  • XVS6%Growth

    Research note pending for this holding. Its weight and its role in the mandate are published above.

The record

What the numbers say

Simulated on historical constituent prices. A Sharpe is only published once the measured window clears 90 days, and drawdowns keep their sign.

Backtested record
494 day window
Sharpe grade
−0.67Negative
Measured over 494 days against a bitcoin reference of 0.33.
Total return
−47.4%
Across the full window, simulated.
Max drawdown
−67.4%
Deepest peak to trough. 178 days to recover.
Annualised volatility
56.6%
Standard deviation of daily returns, annualised.
Beta vs bitcoin
1.18
Correlation 0.77.
Effective holdings
3.96
Of 6 named. Equal weight equivalent, from the published weights.
Simulated rebalance
Quarterly
Backtest assumption, not a published cadence.
Jensen alpha
−15.0%
Excess over what beta to bitcoin alone explains.
R squared
0.59
Share of the basket's moves bitcoin explains.
Bitcoin reference · Sharpe 0.33 · max drawdown −76.6%
OCBE100 reference · Sharpe 0.34 · max drawdown −61.1%

Every figure above is simulated on historical constituent prices for a basket that has not traded. It describes how the rules would have behaved, not how they will behave. OBNB6 is part of a public preview.

Loss tail
95% VaR · loss tailhistorical
1-week · 7d−16%
1-month · 30d−34%

Max expected loss over the horizon · 95% confidence · historical distribution. There is a 5% chance the actual loss is larger.

Across timeframes
vs bitcoin
Simulated return for this basket over five windows, with a Sharpe and a comparison with bitcoin wherever the window is long enough to publish one.
WindowReturnSharpevs BTC
Full window−47.4%−0.67−0.13
1 year−36.6%−0.68+0.15
6 months−30.7%−1.13−0.45
3 months+28.0%4.55+1.14
1 month+15.9%Not graded·

Returns are simulated over each window. A Sharpe is published only once that window clears 90 days, so the shorter rows read Not graded and carry no comparison with bitcoin. Short windows flatter and punish at random; read the full window first and treat the rest as texture.

Risk

What could go wrong

Priced off this basket's own weights rather than off a generic disclaimer, so every figure below can be checked against the table above.

Drawdowns of 30 to 50% are within historical range during cycle bottoms, tracking the broader crypto market. Family-standard caps and rebalancing rules apply.

Structural flags
4 on this basket
  • Single-name concentrationHigh

    BNB carries 42% of the basket. A drawdown in this single name materially moves NAV.

  • Short price historyHigh

    INJ, PENDLE, SOLV have under a year of usable history. Backtest metrics carry wider error bars.

  • Deep historical drawdownMedium

    Max drawdown reached −67% in the backtest window. Size accordingly.

  • Pre-live statusLow

    Watchlist index. NAV is computed but the basket isn't yet open for live allocation.

If it goes wrong
effect on net asset value
4 downside scenarios for this basket, and the loss each one would put on net asset value.
ScenarioLoss on net asset value
BNB loses half its valueLargest holding, 42.0% of the basket−21.0%Mechanical
The three largest holdings fall 30%BNB, INJ, PENDLE · 74.0% of the basket together−22.2%Mechanical
The deepest simulated fall repeatsRecorded once in the window, 178 days to recover−67.4%Recorded
A bad month, one in twenty95% historical value at risk over 30 days−33.5%Measured

The mechanical rows hold every other holding still, which is the optimistic case. This basket measured 0.77 correlation to bitcoin over its window, so its holdings tend to fall together rather than one at a time. Read the figures as a floor on the damage, never a ceiling.

Further reading

The research behind the construction

Worth a second look later

OBNB6 is under methodology review, so it carries no buy action today. The weights and the cadence are still being settled, and publishing an order panel over rules that are about to change would be the wrong kind of confidence. Everything above stays on the page while the work runs: the composition, the measured record and the risk flags all move with the research.